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Figure 4 | Journal of Applied Volcanology

Figure 4

From: Probabilistic approach to modeling lava flow inundation: a lava flow hazard assessment for a nuclear facility in Armenia

Figure 4

Model for spatial density on the Shamiram Plateau. The spatial density model of the potential for volcanism is shown for an area about a site (ANPP), based on 18 mapped volcanic centers (white circles, see Table 2). The SAMSE estimator is used to generate an optimal smoothing bandwidth based on the clustering behavior of the volcanoes. Contours are drawn and colored at the 5th, 16th, 33th, 67th, 84th, and 95th percentile boundaries. For example, given that a volcanic event occurs within the mapped area, there is a 50% chance it will occur within the area defined by the 1.7 × 10-2 km-2 contour, based on this model of the spatial density.

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