From: Operational eruption forecasting at high-risk volcanoes: the case of Campi Flegrei, Naples
Parameter | inertia | units | ELICIT. I | ELICIT. II | ELICIT. III | ELICIT. IV | ELICIT. V |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  |  |  |  |  | (on line) | (on line) |
Node 1 | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Uplift | cum. last 3 months | cm | > 1-20[ch] | > 2-5[ch] | > 2-5[ch] | > 2-5[ch] | > 2-6 |
Uplift rate | last 3 months | cm/month | > 1-50 | > 2-10 | > 2-7 | > 1.2-2 | > 0.7-1.3 |
New fractures | last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | YES/NO (1)[p 70] |
Positive gravimetric change | last 3 months | μ Gal | > 36-180 | > 40-50 | - | - | - |
Absolute gravimetric change | last 3 months | μ Gal | - | - | > 20-40 | > 30-50 | - |
Node 2 | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Uplift | cum. last 3 months | cm | > 1-100 (1)[ch] | - | - | - | > 5-15 (1) |
Uplift rate | last 3 months | cm/month | - | > 10-30 | > 35-135 (1) | > 5-20 (2)[p 33] | - |
Macroscopic variation on the | last 3 months | - | - | YES/NO (1) | YES/NO (1) | YES/NO (1) | YES/NO (1) |
deformation pattern (tens of m) | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
New fractures | last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | YES/NO (1))[p 20] |
Absolute gravimetric change | last 3 months | μ Gal | - | > 20-100 (1) | - | > 40-60 (1) | - |
Positive gravimetric change | last 3 months | μ Gal | > 100-270 (1) | - | - | - | - |
Node 3 | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Uplift | cum. last 3 months | cm | > 50-100 (1)[ch] | - | - | - | - |
Uplift rate | last 3 months | cm/day | - | > 5-10 | > 8-45 | - | - |
Acceleration in uplift | - | - | YES/NO (1) | YES/NO (2) | canceled | canceled | canceled |
Macroscopic variation on the | last week | - | YES/NO (1) | - | - | YES/NO (1)[p 40] | YES/NO (1) |
deformation pattern (tens of m) | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Migration of incremental | last week | - | - | - | - | - | YES/NO (1)[p 70] |
maximum (m) | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
New fractures | last 3 months | - | YES/NO (1) | YES/NO (1) | YES/NO (1) | YES/NO (1) | YES/NO (1))[p 40] |