Figure 8

Sample of Preliminary Forecast (graphical format) in the new VAFF format. Translations from Japanese as numbered below. *1 Volcano name: Sakurajima volcano. *2 Forecast title. *3 Time of issue and responsible observatory. *4 Summary: An eruption occurred at 08:04 on November 7. A 2000 m eruption plume formed and is rising and extending to south. An ash fall of moderate quantity and areal extent of ash fall is forecast for Kagoshima city (Sakurajima) and areal extent of lapilli fall is forecasted to 3 km away from the crater to south-east direction is forecasted within one hour after onset of the eruption. *5 Forecast of municipalities affected: An ash fall of moderate quantity is forecast in Kagoshima city. *6 Precautions for disaster prevention: People in the open air in areas where a moderate ash fall is forecast should use an umbrella or wear a face mask to minimize their exposure to ash. People driving vehicles should drive slowly. People in areas where a lapilli fall is forecast should stay indoors or take refuge under a solid roof. *7 Reference: Categories of ash fall quantity. Much: Ash deposits more than 1 mm thick; low visibility by ash fall and roads completely covered by ash; Stay Indoors. Moderate: Ash deposits 0.1 to 1 mm thick; recognizable ash fall and road markings partly obscured by ash; Attention. Little: thin ash deposits, less than 0.1 mm thick. *8 Forecast areal extent of ash fall. *9 Legend (ash fall). “Yellow filled area”: Area of ash fall of moderate quantity. “Gray filled area”: Area of ash fall of little quantity. Thick black line: boundary of municipality to be affected by ash fall. *10: Forecast areal extent of lapilli fall. *11: Legend (lapilli fall). “Red filled area”: Area of lapilli fall (≥1 cm size).