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Table 3 Subset of sources across the Asia-Pacific and associated annual eruption probabilities

From: Probabilistic Volcanic Ash Hazard Analysis (PVAHA) II: assessment of the Asia-Pacific region using VAPAH

Source

Sub-region

Volcano type

P(VEI 2)

P(VEI 3)

P(VEI 4)

P(VEI 5)

P(VEI 6)

P(VEI 7)

Ulawun

PNG

Large cone

0.10477

0.01594

0.10032

0.03553

0.00836

0.00139

Ambrym

Vanuatu

Shield

0.01241

0.00136

0.01446

0.00206

0.00206

0

Pinatubo

Philippines

Large cone

0.008332

0.001268

0.007979

0.00282

0.00066

0.00011

Bulusan

Philippines

Large cone

0.04364

0.006642

0.041788

0.0148

0.00348

0.00058

Musuan

Philippines

Lava dome

6.99E-06

3.49E-06

9.23E-05

5.54E-05

0

0

Sakura-Jima

Japan

Large cone

0.0055

0.000837

0.005267

0.00186

0.00043

7.31E-05

Sumiyoshi-ike

Japan

Small cone

0.000272

0.00015

0.000576

0

0

0

Sangeang Api

Indonesia

Large cone

0.034811

0.005298

0.033333

0.01180

0.00277

0.00046

Kelud

Indonesia

Large cone

0.035744

0.00544

0.034226

0.01212

0.00285

0.00047

Suoh

Indonesia

Caldera

0.000178

1.80E-05

0.000281

5.79E-05

5.79E-05

8.27E-06

Taupo

NZ

Caldera

0.000116

1.17E-05

0.000184

3.78E-05

3.78E-05

5.4E-06

Ruapehu

NZ

Large cone

0.140448

0.021377

0.134486

0.04763

0.01120

0.00186

White Island

NZ

Large cone

0.084269

0.012826

0.080692

0.02857

0.00672

0.00112

Karymsky

Russia

Large cone

0.046167

0.007027

0.044207

0.01565

0.00368

0.00061

Ushishur

Russia

Caldera

0.000419

4.23E-05

0.000661

0.00013

0.00013

1.94E-05

Niuafo’ou

Tonga

Shield

0.001876

0.000207

0.002186

0.00031

0.00031

0