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Table 2 The timing of alert level activations during the 2014–2015 eruption, and the alert level scheme (Faria 2010; Faria and Fonseca 2014) used by the National Institute of Meteorology and Geophysics (INMG), the official meteorological and volcanological hazard monitoring agency for Cape Verde. Times are local (UTC - 1 h)

From: Damage from lava flows: insights from the 2014–2015 eruption of Fogo, Cape Verde

Level

Criteria

Interpretation

Depth

Time window for possible eruption

Activation during 2014–2015 eruption

Escalation

Decline

1

• Usual records

Normal state

-

-

Background

25 February

2

• Long term ground deformation (GPS, InSAR)

• Seismic noise modification

An eruption is possible soon

5 to 13 km

10 days to 5 months

Early October

-

3

• Peak of seismic activity

• Variation of the tilt

Probable eruption

4 to 5 km

4 to 40 days

21 November

20 February

4

• Peak of the tilt

• Long-period events with greater magnitude and number

Very probable eruption

2 to 4 km

To be determined as the dike progresses

20:00, 22 November

AM, 8 February

5

• Seismic activity is maintained

• Continuous tremor

Imminent eruption

0 to 2 km

08:30, 23 November