From: Ceboruco hazard map: part I - definition of hazard scenarios based on the eruptive history
Scenarios | Description | Volcanic phenomena | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ASH FALLOUT | BALLISTIC BLOCKS | LAVA FLOWS | PYROCLASTIC FLOWS | LAHARS | ||
SCENARIO 1 | Effusive eruption of andesitic composition Volume: 0.02–0.5 km3 Eruptive column height: 1–5 km VEI < 2 | Volume | Diameter | Volume | ||
0.001–0.025 km3 | 0.1–0.5 m | 0.02–0.475 km3 | ||||
Eruptive column height | Density | Average thickness | ||||
1–5 km | Andesite 2500 kg/m3 | 10–40 m | ||||
Granulometry | Initial velocity | Length | ||||
Samples of 1870 eruption | 150 a 200 m/s | 8–15 km | ||||
SCENARIO 2 | Vulcanian eruption, with a dacitic effusive phase Volume: 0.5–2.5 km3 Eruptive column height: 5–15 km VEI: 2–3 | Volume | Diameter | Volume | Volume | Volume |
0.05–0.25 km3 | 0.1–0.5 m | 0.475–2.125 km3 | 0.025–0.125 km3 | 0.5–3/4 x 106m3 (water + sediments) | ||
Eruptive column height | Density | Average thickness | Bed friction | Sediment input areas | ||
5–15 km | Andesite/Dacite 2500–2800 kg/m3 | 40–140 m | Ceboruco slopes | |||
Granulometry | Initial velocity | Length | Column collapse height | |||
Samples of 1870 eruption | 150 a 200 m/s | 4–8 km | 1500 m | |||
SCENARIO 3 | Plinian eruption Volume: 2.5–5 km3 Eruptive column height: > 20 km VEI > 3 | Volume | Diameter | Volume | Volume | |
2–4 km3 | > 0.5 m | 0.5–1 km3 | 9–11 × 106 m3 (water + sediments) | |||
Eruptive column height | Density | Bed friction | Sediment input areas | |||
15–35 km | Andesite/Dacite 2500–2800 kg/m3 | Ceboruco slopes + SMO | ||||
Granulometry | Initial velocity | Column collapse height | ||||
Samples of plinian eruption Jala | 150 a 200 m/s | 1500 m | ||||
Modelling computer codes to reproduce volcanic phenomena | Tephra 2 (Bonadonna et al., 2014) Hazmap (Macedonio et al., 2005) | Eject! Code (Mastin, 2001) | Etna Lava Flow Model (Damiani et al., 2006) |