Table 1 Summary of the input data used in PyBetVH for the first three nodes
From: Probabilistic volcanic hazard assessment at an active but under-monitored volcano: Ceboruco, Mexico
Nodes | Input parameters (see text) |
|---|---|
𝛕 = 1 year (forecast time window) | |
Node 1 – unrest/no unrest | |
Past data | 4 unrest episodes (u) in 1108 time windows |
Prior models | Beta = 0.5; 𝛬 = 1 |
Node 2 – origin of unrest | |
Past data | mu = 2 out of 4 |
Prior models | Beta = 0.5; 𝛬 = 1 |
Node 3 – eruption/no eruption | |
Past data | me = 2 out of 2 |
Prior models | Beta = 0.5; 𝛬 = 1 |