Table 3 BBN evaluated eruption probabilities for instantiated node states on Figure 5 (values on figure are rounded)
Observation node | State instantiated (selected = 1) | ||
|---|---|---|---|
Gas | Magmatic_imprint | Uncertain | Hydrothermal |
0 | 1 | 0 | |
Inflation | Positive | Neutral | Negative |
0 | 1 | 0 | |
DC_seismicity | Elevated | Background | |
0 | 1 | ||
LP_Hybrid_Tremor | Present | Absent | |
0 | 1 | ||
Corresponding probabilities for Node: Santorini_eruption_probs | |||
Non_magmatic | Failed_Intrusion | LavaFlow_or_Dome_1st | Explosion_1st |
99.98% | 0.012% | 5.5 × 10−3% | 3. × 10−5% |