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Table 3 BBN evaluated eruption probabilities for instantiated node states on Figure 5 (values on figure are rounded)

From: Santorini unrest 2011–2012: an immediate Bayesian belief network analysis of eruption scenario probabilities for urgent decision support under uncertainty

Observation node State instantiated (selected = 1)
Gas Magmatic_imprint Uncertain Hydrothermal
  0 1 0
Inflation Positive Neutral Negative
  0 1 0
DC_seismicity Elevated Background  
  0 1  
LP_Hybrid_Tremor Present Absent  
  0 1  
Corresponding probabilities for Node: Santorini_eruption_probs
Non_magmatic Failed_Intrusion LavaFlow_or_Dome_1st Explosion_1st
99.98% 0.012% 5.5 × 10−3% 3. × 10−5%