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Table 4 Summary values for the two ‘most likely’ scenario cases at Santorini. The ‘Strong’ case assumes no influence of the wind upon the plume (Sparks et al, 1997) and the ‘Weak’ considers that the plume may be affected by wind (Woodhouse et al, 2013)

From: Rapid emergency assessment of ash and gas hazard for future eruptions at Santorini Volcano, Greece

Scenario case:

Strong

Weak

Total mass of ash:

2.33 x 108 kg

1.73 x 109 kg

Total mass of lava:

2 x 1011 kg

2 x 1011 kg

Ratio of ash to lava:

~1:1000

~1:100

Eruption duration:

2 years

2 years

Duration of ash emission:

15.3 % of time

7.6 % of time