Fig. 2From: Aso volcano, Japan: assessing the 100-year probability of a new caldera-forming eruption based on expert judgements with Bayes Net and Importance Sampling uncertainty analysisSimplified diagrammatic representation of Aso volcano magma system for the purposes of this assessment, with three putative reservoirs of uncertain size and magma composition, and alternative schematic pathways to the surface. The same model elements are implemented in various combinations in the Bayes Net probability calculation model, described in text and shown in Figs. 3 - 8Back to article page